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> Black holes at CERN?, Full story at http://www.physorg.com/news12171.html
rpenner
Posted: Sep 6 2007, 10:53 PM


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QUOTE (Wilease Wichard @ Sep 6 2007, 10:03 PM)
Did you check Wilfred?

smile.gif

Would you believe:
"Wilfried Lothar Wagner Loris Bennett"

http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content?c...002689798168088


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rpenner
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 05:52 AM


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Physics World has rang in:
http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/indepth/30679

Also, didn't Walter L. Wagner also try to shut down Berkeley's Bevalac in the 1980's?

http://theory.gsi.de/~vanhees/publ/cup.pdf

Still waiting for a physical argument, but to date every single prophecy has been built on more than one crazy assumption. After the second crazy assumption, the laws of debate would seem to allow the opposition to offer one crazy assumption. So here's my candidate:

QUOTE (Hawaiian Philosopher)
How do you know that killing off all of humanity isn't the kindest possible fate for the Galaxy? As we all know the ultimate standard of evil has changed over time: The Romans, The Barbarians, The Huns, The Nazis, The Bush Administration, .... But, to the best of our measurements, these are all humans. [Walter's a]ttempts to prevent global suicide can only be interpreted as a deliberate plan to inflict humanity upon the galaxy. He must be stopped.


I guess the author of that literally believes "Hell is other people" and its corollaries.

This post has been edited by rpenner on Sep 7 2007, 05:55 AM


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ubavontuba
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 06:35 AM


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QUOTE (Trippy @ Sep 6 2007, 06:12 AM)
This is blatant BS.
It means that in order for the alleged micro-blackholes to be formed, with a residual momentum less than the escape velocity (a pre-requisite for capture), that the momentums of the colliding particles need to cancel to part in a Trillion.

This involves acheiving an accuracy of ±0.0000000001%

Not so irrelevant now is it?

Is there any reason why this can't happen?


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ubavontuba
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 07:15 AM


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QUOTE (AlphaNumeric @ Sep 6 2007, 07:10 AM)
And what justification or rationale do you have for that being a viable thing to take from the experiment, other than your desperate wish for some justification for your claims?

I've referenced articles on it before, but you won't (can't?) access and read pertinent information. The suggestion it was a blackhole came from the researchers.

QUOTE
The 'fireball' was a mass of quark formed parts. What made it interesting was that they didn't hadronise immediately, they formed a plasma of sorts.

It also lasted (relatively speaking) an unusually long time.

QUOTE
How can I when you refuse to tell me the important factors for such models?

So you can't determine them for yourself? Oh yeah, you told me previously that you can't do any original work.

QUOTE
Since you've obviously never studied it, I'l tell you.

When computing the Einstein Field Equations, there is a constant of integration which you can include. That constant is the 'cosmological constant', which models dark energy. For decades it was set to zero but now it's set to a tiny value, as experiments imply. So it's not that GR couldn't model it, we just didn't consider it.

Yeah, Einstein's "greatest blunder." However, he was thinking of a steady-state universe, not an outwardly accelerating one!

QUOTE
No, the long distance effects of black holes are GR related. The actual 'singularity' and the region extremely close to it require quantum considerations.

Maybe so, but there's a lot of unproven postulates in it. For instance, it isn't proven that virtual particles exist.

QUOTE
Yet it forms the basis for your only method of relating the RHIC experiment to black holes and even then it never said an actual black hole formed.

It's undetermined.

QUOTE
You originally brought it up and I had to correct you on it, that it wasn't a black hole.

I only said it may have been a blackhole. You're the one that brought up the dual of a blackhole, string theory thing.

QUOTE
Another pointless, irrelevent attempt to side track the 'discussion' by mentioning "you're a chatbot". I bet it's all the more galling that a chatbot knows more science and logic than you.

Every time a crank insults me, it just reflects even more on them because it means they are being corrected and shown for idiots by "a child" or "a chatbot".

You're a slippery one, but I've held my own with you in the past.

QUOTE
Yes, that's true but your ability to grasp relative likelihood of "Maybes" is not exactly good.

My point is that the stakes are so high that it's not worth the risk.

QUOTE
And it's not happened on many occasions. See how your logic is flawed?

It's happened. Maybe our individual interpretation of "many" is different, but it has happened.

QUOTE
Why? Were you involved in the Manhattan project in 1945?

No, but I know enough about nitrogen combustion properties to know that it has too much entropy to support a flame (at atmospheric pressures).

QUOTE
It tells you the 'fine tuning' required to get into the tiny range you talk about. It's entirely out of the ability of the collider.

Correction, It's beyond its intentional ability. It could happen though.

QUOTE
Everytime you've been shown some equations, you ignore it. Besides, you're the one leaning on string theory for even the slightest black hole related thing to current collider physics.

No, I'm relying on observational evidence.

It's possible that string theory is right about the hidden dimensions, but wrong about Hawking Radiation. As I wrote above, there's scant observational evidence that virtual particles even exist.

This post has been edited by ubavontuba on Sep 7 2007, 07:18 AM


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ubavontuba
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 07:24 AM


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QUOTE (AlphaNumeric @ Sep 6 2007, 10:33 PM)
I attended a brief talk on primordial black holes today and the speaker commented that given the prediction of outputs of Hawking radiation in the gamma photon range, it was possible to use experimental observations of said range of the EM spectrum to put bounds on the amount of matter in the universe taken up by microblack holes.

Ub said previously that microblack holes were a possible candidate for a considerable amount of dark matter, which is estimated to take up approximately 25% of our universe. Experimental observations put the upper bound at 0.00001%.

So much for that one.

This just supports my contention that Hawking radiation might not work!


This post has been edited by ubavontuba on Sep 7 2007, 07:26 AM


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Trippy
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 08:43 AM


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Somehow I'm not surprised. No comments from the scare-mongerers about my calculations.

Of course, using the Ionic radius mprobably isn't that accurate, given that atoms themselves are mostly empty space.

A little research tells us that that the typical nuclear radius is 10-14 fm.
Substituting this value in gives us a volume of 11,494 fm^3
This reduces to 1.149 *10^-35 cc
Using this new figure gives us a total occupancy of 0.00000000000256 cc
Which means that even in the core of the earth, it's still 99.999997% EMPTY SPACE.


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AlphaNumeric
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 09:57 AM


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QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
I've referenced articles on it before, but you won't (can't?) access and read pertinent information.  The suggestion it was a blackhole came from the researchers.

Read the paper, learn something about AdS/CFT correspondence.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
It also lasted (relatively speaking) an unusually long time.
Not that that has anything to do with your claims.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
So you can't determine them for yourself?
Every time someone puts a calculation infront of you you claim "It's not considering all the factors!!" so I'm waiting for you to actually quantify what those factors are.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
Oh yeah, you told me previously that you can't do any original work.
Yet more twisting of truth and putting words in my mouth.

You asked me if I'd ever done any original work. At the time (many months ago) the answer was no, I'd instead been spending the last few years learning about various mainstream results so that now I could be in a position to hopefully extend some of them. So it wasn't I couldn't, it was I hadn't.

Now, several months down the line, the situation has changed. I have done original work and infact my supervisor and I plan to put pen to paper properly in the coming month or so and then I'll be published.

What original, published, work have you done? How much time and effort have you put into learning GR and QFT? The answer to both questions is obviously none.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
Yeah, Einstein's "greatest blunder." However, he was thinking of a steady-state universe, not an outwardly accelerating one!
The size of the constant is what determines wether a space-time is expanding or contracting or static.

I'll add 'basic cosmology' to the list of things you should learn befor shouting your mouth off.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
Maybe so, but there's a lot of unproven postulates in it. For instance, it isn't proven that virtual particles exist.
Casamir effect.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
It's undetermined.
Yep, so your claims about the black hole at RHIC are all the more tenious.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
I only said it may have been a blackhole. You're the one that brought up the dual of a blackhole, string theory thing..
No, the paper YOU cited brought it up. Your claims stem from that paper and the paper even had 'dual' in the title!
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
You're a slippery one, but I've held my own with you in the past.
Keep kidding yourself. The reality of it is clear.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
My point is that the stakes are so high that it's not worth the risk.
So it's not worth doing any particle physics research on the fantastically unlikely grounds it could destroy the Earth. Why do you still have your computer on, when it's risking the entire Earth?!

Quick, shut down your PC!
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
It's happened. Maybe our individual interpretation of "many" is different, but it has happened.
My point stands, it's not a viable argument.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
No, but I know enough about nitrogen combustion properties to know that it has too much entropy to support a flame (at atmospheric pressures)..
That's not including the pressure from an atomic blast.
QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 08:15 AM)
No, I'm relying on observational evidence.

It's possible that string theory is right about the hidden dimensions, but wrong about Hawking Radiation. As I wrote above, there's scant observational evidence that virtual particles even exist.
Funny how you go so quickly from "string theory is hodgepodge" to "I need a result of string theory!" laugh.gif


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rpenner
Posted: Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM


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QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 7 2007, 07:15 AM)
My point is that the stakes are so high that it's not worth the risk.

So quantify the risk.
  • Empirically, the number of objects destroyed by sub-stellar black holes or stranglets: Zero
  • Empirically, the evidence that 450 EeV cosmic rays form black holes: Zero
  • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at non-quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Zero
  • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Maybe One -- can't judge this from a press release.
  • Physically: Number of of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole formed at collider energies could be dangerous: Zero

If the risk is actually zero, then the amount of the stakes are irrelevant.

All the working physicists are asking is for a coherent model of how anyone is put at risk by any collider experiment at all. With viruses or chemistry or coal mining or mountain climbing, the risks are quantifiable. Why should physics be held to a higher standard?

But it is completely unknown how the experiment might put anyone at risk, and this is why AlphaNumeric's example is so relevant. If we are allowed to guess the risk of something that has never been observed to happen -- a pure guess not based on any calculation from known quantities -- then your are replacing logic with fantasy. That's why, even though you are using "scientific" language, scientists think your question is, "Isn't it possible that a dimensional rift to empty space has opened up in my apartment while I was away, and the next time I put the key in my lock, I could be putting the entire Earth at risk of losing atmosphere?" So going home from work could be as risky as any LHC experiment by that pseudo-reasoning. Using a computer could be. Thinking could be. It is a completely unreasonable fear of the unknown based on the unknowable.

In 1999, four authors put a bound on collider-based black holes based on the only successful models of gravity at the time: General Relativity and First Order quantum gravity. The risk is zero.

In the speculative paper on the creation of black holes in the TeV range, this is a quantum model which includes Hawking Radiation as an easy prediction. Your position on Unruh radiation is inapposite. (W.L. Wagner perhaps can tell you what that last word means.)

In the RHIC paper comparing the quark-gluon plasma to the mathematical properties of a high-dimensional black hole evaporating by Hawking Radiation, the fireball has no ability to grow by "sucking in" matter -- it's an analogy only. Likewise, there are other analogues for black holes, but just because some of the math is the same doesn't make them black holes.

http://relativity.livingreviews.org/Articl...5-12/index.html

Stop using press releases and unchecked pre-prints in lieu of actual scientific papers. Stop using fear as a substitute for reason.


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ubavontuba
Posted: Sep 8 2007, 08:20 AM


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QUOTE (AlphaNumeric @ Sep 7 2007, 09:57 AM)
Read the paper, learn something about AdS/CFT correspondence.

Been there, done that. Have you read it?

QUOTE
Not that that has anything to do with your claims.

It has a lot to do with my claims. Can you be sure the core completely dissolved, or did it just stop radiating?

QUOTE
Every time someone puts a calculation infront of you you claim "It's not considering all the factors!!" so I'm waiting for you to actually quantify what those factors are.

These factors are pretty obvious. Are you really afraid that I might successfully argue against your self-acclaimed skills?

Figure it out, AlphaNumeric. How fast must it grow to be captured?

QUOTE
Yet more twisting of truth and putting words in my mouth.

You asked me if I'd ever done any original work. At the time (many months ago) the answer was no, I'd instead been spending the last few years learning about various mainstream results so that now I could be in a position to hopefully extend some of them. So it wasn't I couldn't, it was I hadn't.

Now, several months down the line, the situation has changed. I have done original work and infact my supervisor and I plan to put pen to paper properly in the coming month or so and then I'll be published.

What original, published, work have you done? How much time and effort have you put into learning GR and QFT? The answer to both questions is obviously none.

No. I asked you if you can do any original work.

QUOTE
The size of the constant is what determines wether a space-time is expanding or contracting or static.

Yeah. This is one of the nifty (albeit tentative) changes I mentioned earlier, to the standard model.

QUOTE
I'll add 'basic cosmology' to the list of things you should learn befor shouting your mouth off.

Basic cosmology has changed quite a bit these past few years. Dark matter and dark energy have really mucked things up. Before their effects were discovered, we thought we had a pretty good handle on things.

QUOTE
Casamir effect.

This only tends to support the concept of a ZPE. It doesn't necessarily reflect the form of the ZPE.

Aside questions: If the energy transferred to the Casimir plates was real, did the supposed VP's that caused it also become real? What if only one of the virtual pair hit a plate? Wouldn't this cause the other to have a net positive (real) energy?

Could a Casimir cavity be used to induce the production of antimatter?

QUOTE
Yep, so your claims about the black hole at RHIC are all the more tenious.

I never claimed it was a blackhole. I only stated that it's possible it was. I'm not even the originator of that claim. The researchers themselves are.

QUOTE
No, the paper YOU cited brought it up. Your claims stem from that paper and the paper even had 'dual' in the title!

No you brought it up and told me to read about it. I then explained I had and I provided the reference to back up that claim.

QUOTE
Keep kidding yourself. The reality of it is clear.

Whatever.

QUOTE
So it's not worth doing any particle physics research on the fantastically unlikely grounds it could destroy the Earth.

Heavy (short lived) elements, antimatter, parton radiation, and such are one thing, strange matter and blackholes pose a fundamentally different risk altogether.

QUOTE
Why do you still have your computer on, when it's risking the entire Earth?!

Quick, shut down your PC!

Why are you such a doofus?

QUOTE
My point stands, it's not a viable argument.

So you think things like: the CP (now often called CPT) violation, the cosmic microwave background radiation (and mapping), neutrino mass, dark matter, and dark energy are irrelevant additions to the standard model of cosmology?

QUOTE
That's not including the pressure from an atomic blast.

Which is only local to the blast. NOx is induced locally by the heat and pressure of the blast, but nitrogen combustion isn't self-sustaining beyond the blast.

QUOTE
Funny how you go so quickly from "string theory is hodgepodge" to "I need a result of string theory!"

That's not what I said.

This post has been edited by ubavontuba on Sep 8 2007, 08:24 AM


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ubavontuba
Posted: Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM


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QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
So quantify the risk.
  • Empirically, the number of objects destroyed by sub-stellar black holes or stranglets: Zero

Actually there is evidence of purely dark matter galaxies. Where did the ordinary matter go? Is it unreasonable to suggest that the dark matter halos for these galaxies collapsed upon the ordinary matter?

QUOTE
  • Empirically, the evidence that 450 EeV cosmic rays form black holes: Zero

  • Just because you can't see it, doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

    QUOTE
  • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at non-quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Zero

  • Theories that successfully and verifiably describe gravity: Zero.

    QUOTE
  • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Maybe One -- can't judge this from a press release.

  • CERN and other physicists seem quite confident that it will happen. They've even nicknamed the LHC "The Blackhole Factory."

    QUOTE
  • Physically: Number of of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole formed at collider energies could be dangerous: Zero

  • Proof that it's safe: Zero.

    QUOTE
    If the risk is actually zero, then the amount of the stakes are irrelevant.

    The risk is not Zero.

    QUOTE
    All the working physicists are asking is for a coherent model of how anyone is put at risk by any collider experiment at all. With viruses or chemistry or coal mining or mountain climbing, the risks are quantifiable. Why should physics be held to a higher standard?

    Because the stakes are orders of magnitude higher.

    QUOTE
    But it is completely unknown how the experiment might put anyone at risk, and this is why AlphaNumeric's example is so relevant. If we are allowed to guess the risk of something that has never been observed to happen -- a pure guess not based on any calculation from known quantities -- then your are replacing logic with fantasy.

    If it is observed to happen even once, who will be left to note down the results?

    QUOTE
    That's why, even though you are using "scientific" language, scientists think your question is, "Isn't it possible that a dimensional rift to empty space has opened up in my apartment while I was away, and the next time I put the key in my lock, I could be putting the entire Earth at risk of losing atmosphere?" So going home from work could be as risky as any LHC experiment by that pseudo-reasoning. Using a computer could be. Thinking could be. It is a completely unreasonable fear of the unknown based on the unknowable.

    We have plenty of observational evidence that these activities of mundane existence are safe. We don't have that reassurance with the LHC.

    QUOTE
    In 1999, four authors put a bound on collider-based black holes based on the only successful models of gravity at the time: General Relativity and First Order quantum gravity. The risk is zero.

    Have you ever heard the phrase; "Man plans, and God laughs." Have our theories always been such accurate predictors that it's reasonable to risk all of humanity on them?

    QUOTE
    In the speculative paper on the creation of black holes in the TeV range, this is a quantum model which includes Hawking Radiation as an easy prediction. Your position on Unruh radiation is inapposite. (W.L. Wagner perhaps can tell you what that last word means.)

    Hooray! Someone actually looked at the Unruh paper!

    I only referenced that dual of a blackhole paper in relation to AlphaNumeric's challenge to read up on the subject. Earlier, I referenced a BBC article that simply described it as a possible blackhole.

    The Unruh Radiation issue contradicts Hawking Radiation!

    QUOTE
    In the RHIC paper comparing the quark-gluon plasma to the mathematical properties of a high-dimensional black hole evaporating by Hawking Radiation, the fireball has no ability to grow by "sucking in" matter -- it's an analogy only. Likewise, there are other analogues for black holes, but just because some of the math is the same doesn't make them black holes.

    http://relativity.livingreviews.org/Articl...5-12/index.html

    This one was an object in spacetime with properties that resembled a blackhole. Was it a blackhole? I don't have enough information to make a determiniation.

    However, some radiation is going to be apparent around a newly formed, but purely classical blackhole. It isn't clear whether it completely dissolved, or just stopped radiating.

    QUOTE
    Stop using press releases and unchecked pre-prints in lieu of actual scientific papers. Stop using fear as a substitute for reason.

    I generally use papers and articles that are available from reliable sources. Which ones (specifically) are you objecting too?

    I also try to be objective and reasonable. It's called, "critical thinking." I highly recommend it.

    This post has been edited by ubavontuba on Sep 8 2007, 09:23 AM


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    Posted: Sep 8 2007, 03:53 PM


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    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    In 1999, four authors put a bound on collider-based black holes based on the only successful models of gravity at the time: General Relativity and First Order quantum gravity. The risk is zero.

    ...

    Stop using fear as a substitute for reason.

    Problem is: everything in and from the GR or Newton's gravity regarding the strong field, being "large" or "small", is totally wrong and cannot be used in any estimation. Also, the "Hawking radiation" is a poor speculation as almost all the related contemporary "physics".

    So, both of "two sides" in this discussion are wrong but from different reasons. Or in other words, in this dicussion there is no real "reasons", only empty arguing. And let me say, the LHC is the first (in this historical turn) experiment of its kind which could harm local equlibrium of Space-Matter itself and that is FAR above all known exoteric physics.

    However, it seems someone behind all that is carefull and concerened enough (at the moment at least) and because of that we have "delays".

    God bless

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    rpenner
    Posted: Sep 8 2007, 06:45 PM


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    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    • Empirically, the number of objects destroyed by sub-stellar black holes or stranglets: Zero
    Actually there is evidence of purely dark matter galaxies. Where did the ordinary matter go? Is it unreasonable to suggest that the dark matter halos for these galaxies collapsed upon the ordinary matter?
    Yes it is unreasonable, because you are just guessing. The simplest explanation is that the ordinary matter (hydrogen) did not exist there in the first place in amounts large enough to form stars. You can't say there was no ordinary matter because it was detected by radio emissions from its hydrogen.
    QUOTE
    Dark galaxies are thought to form when the density of matter in a galaxy is too low to create the conditions for star formation.
    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    • Empirically, the evidence that 450 EeV cosmic rays form black holes: Zero
    Just because you can't see it, doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
    We do see lots of EeV cosmic rays. We see no evidence that black holes are formed. Thus it is unreasonable from an empirical background to assume that particle collisions form black holes.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at non-quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Zero
    Theories that successfully and verifiably describe gravity: Zero.
    Actually, GR has been verified in every area of the universe we have observed. http://relativity.livingreviews.org/Articl...06-3/index.html

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    • Physically: Number of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole is possible to form at collider energies: Maybe One -- can't judge this from a press release.
    CERN and other physicists seem quite confident that it will happen. They've even nicknamed the LHC "The Blackhole Factory."
    Who did this? I know the name is popular among bloggers. The actual motivation is as a Higgs factory.

    Even if you accept predictions from some CERN scientists that black holes will be produced at a rate of 1/second, the exact same theories predict that they evaporate before leaving vacuum and that less than 20 per year are below Earth escape velocity and that it takes billions of years of experiments to threaten the Earth if they don't decay.

    But the motivation of a theoretical prediction of a particle-sized black hole is from quantum theories which assume facts not yet in evidence.
    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    • Physically: Number of of coherent attempts at quantum gravitational theories which predict that a black hole formed at collider energies could be dangerous: Zero
    Proof that it's safe: Zero.
    By this standard, nothing is proven safe. Actual planning requires a number, just like actual science does.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 7 2007, 06:12 PM)
    If the risk is actually zero, then the amount of the stakes are irrelevant.
    The risk is not Zero.
    Then it must be a number. What is that number? How is it calculated. What parameters are unknown? What experiments would let us measure those parameters?

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    Because the stakes are orders of magnitude higher.
    So the acceptable level of risk should be orders of magnitude smaller than ordinary risks we find acceptable.

    The entire city of Denver is at increased hazard from radiation, but this is considered an acceptable risk. Japan and California are prone to earthquakes, but this is an acceptable risk. Extinction risks from space rocks are well-modeled.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    If it is observed to happen even once, who will be left to note down the results?
    That pretty much proves that no CERN Physicist who believes in the speculative model of gravity believes that these black holes pose a risk. While you can get a Nobel for discovering something that kills you, you can't if you kill the Nobel committee.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    We have plenty of observational evidence that these activities of mundane existence are safe.  We don't have that reassurance with the LHC.
    But why do you assume they are dangerous. GM foods haven't spread like wildfire. The Bevalac and RHIC did not cause problems like W.L. Wagner predicted. If you predict trouble and are right, then you are Cassandra -- a tragic figure. But if you predict trouble and are wrong, then you are the boy who cried 'wolf' -- a fool.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    Have you ever heard the phrase; "Man plans, and God laughs."  Have our theories always been such accurate predictors that it's reasonable to risk all of humanity on them?
    Yep. http://www.mjc.org/Rabbis%20Message/message-200202.htm
    And, yep. We do that every time we do something new.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    Hooray!  Someone actually looked at the Unruh paper!

    I only referenced that dual of a blackhole paper in relation to AlphaNumeric's challenge to read up on the subject.  Earlier, I referenced a BBC article that simply described it as a possible blackhole.

    The Unruh Radiation issue contradicts Hawking Radiation!
    No, it doesn't. But rather than spend 20 years educating you on axiomatic quantum field theory, we have done you the honor of accepting your nonsense speculation on non-evaporating black holes for our calculations. And you respond by spitting on it.

    This can only mean you don't actually have the physics or math background to argue with the calculations. And this implies you cannot understand the Unruh paper and it's implications for Hawking radiation.

    QUOTE (ubavontuba @ Sep 8 2007, 09:07 AM)
    I also try to be objective and reasonable.  It's called, "critical thinking."  I highly recommend it.

    Still checking for your reasoning. Also, it's not "blackhole" but "black hole."


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    ubavontuba
    Posted: Sep 8 2007, 07:54 PM


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    QUOTE (Rebis @ Sep 8 2007, 03:53 PM)
    However, it seems someone behind all that is carefull and concerened enough (at the moment at least) and because of that we have "delays".

    God bless

    God bless the delays!


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    Trippy
    Posted: Sep 8 2007, 08:42 PM


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    Ubavontuba: Still no comment on the calculations I provided for your benefit I see.

    Rpenner: I have a question for you. If a Black hole did form from an EeV Cosmic Ray, what evidence would we expect to see. Ubavontuba seems to be under the impression that when you say "We have bo evidence these things form" what you really mean is "Because we have not observed these things directly, they do not form". So what evidence would we expect to see? I imagine it would take the form of signature particle cascades, or emission of radiation with a certain signature?


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    ubavontuba
    Posted: Sep 8 2007, 10:08 PM


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    QUOTE (rpenner @ Sep 8 2007, 06:45 PM)
    QUOTE
    Actually there is evidence of purely dark matter galaxies.  Where did the ordinary matter go?  Is it unreasonable to suggest that the dark matter halos for these galaxies collapsed upon the ordinary matter?
    Yes it is unreasonable, because you are just guessing. The simplest explanation is that the ordinary matter (hydrogen) did not exist there in the first place in amounts large enough to form stars. You can't say there was no ordinary matter because it was detected by radio emissions from its hydrogen.

    http://www.universetoday.com/2005/02/23/fi...laxy-discovered
    http://www2.naic.edu/~rminchin/virgohi21.html

    "...they found a mass of hydrogen atoms a hundred million times the mass of the Sun." And yet none if this hydrogen clumps together to form even one star because...?

    (cool references!)

    QUOTE
    So you have zero evidence for objects destroyed.

    And you can't prove that there isn't any evident destruction. I've asked you this before: Where are all the neutron stars from previous generations? Why do scientists think gamma ray bursts come from "colliding neutron stars" (a regular occurrence in the universe) and yet they don't see ordinary stars bashing into each other regularly? Since visible stars are seemingly so numerically superior, shouldn't we see this happening all over the place, all the time (provided the physics of gravitational attraction between neutron stars and visible stars is the same)?

    QUOTE
    We do see lots of EeV cosmic rays. We see no evidence that black holes are formed. Thus it is unreasonable from an empirical background to assume that particle collisions form black holes.

    Of course not! It would be here and gone before it could be confirmed. The relative velocity is enormous!

    QUOTE
    Actually, GR has been verified in every area of the universe we have observed. http://relativity.livingreviews.org/Articl...06-3/index.html

    My bad. I meant to state: Theories that successfully and verifiably describe quantum gravity: Zero. I have no argument with GR. You know as well as I do that GR doesn't really apply well to quantum particle collider experiments.

    QUOTE
    QUOTE
    CERN and other physicists seem quite confident that it will happen.  They've even nicknamed the LHC "The Blackhole Factory."
    Who did this? I know the name is popular among bloggers. The actual motivation is as a Higgs factory.

    Here it is, straight from the CERN Courier:

      "If the Planck scale is thus in the TeV range, the 14 TeV centre-of-mass energy of the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) could allow it to become a black-hole factory with a production rate as high as about one per second."
      (Bold is mine)


    QUOTE
    Even if you accept predictions from some CERN scientists that black holes will be produced at a rate of 1/second, the exact same theories predict that they evaporate before leaving vacuum and that less than 20 per year are below Earth escape velocity and that it takes billions of years of experiments to threaten the Earth if they don't decay.

    20 per year! That's 20 too many! Do AlphaNumeric and Trippy know this (they argued against it)?

    I don't buy the billions of years thing. Every calculation I've ever seen on this relies on the absorption cross section of the nano-black holes when they are small. It's extrapolated linearly from there. The ideas that the growth rate will increase with mass and that additionally, the crushing pressure of the earth's interior might push mass in, are completely ignored.

    I'll concede that it may still take some time though (hopefully longer, rather than shorter), but why risk destroying the earth for our descendants? What'd they ever do to us?

    QUOTE
    By this standard, nothing is proven safe. Actual planning requires a number, just like actual science does.

    Verifiable and repeated observations of safety are satisfactory evidence. You got any?

    QUOTE
    QUOTE
    The risk is not Zero.

    Then it must be a number. What is that number? How is it calculated. What parameters are unknown? What experiments would let us measure those parameters?

    Virtually all of the parameters are unknown. Only by conducting the experiments can we determine verifiably whether it's safe or not. By then, it might be too late. How about moving the experiments to a safe distance so we can safely make that determination?

    QUOTE
    So the acceptable level of risk should be orders of magnitude smaller than ordinary risks we find acceptable.

    Yes!

    QUOTE
    The entire city of Denver is at increased hazard from radiation, but this is considered an acceptable risk. Japan and California are prone to earthquakes, but this is an acceptable risk. Extinction risks from space rocks are well-modeled.

    Relatively minor destruction is not even in the same risk ball field as total destruction. Scientists are indeed already working on methods to protect earth from falling space rocks (even though the evidence indicates this only happens once in dozens of millions(!) of years or so).

    QUOTE
    That pretty much proves that no CERN Physicist who believes in the speculative model of gravity believes that these black holes pose a risk. While you can get a Nobel for discovering something that kills you, you can't if you kill the Nobel committee.

    What's that prove? The Titanic builders had every confidence their ship was "unsinkable" too.

    QUOTE
    But why do you assume they are dangerous.

    Why do you assume it's safe?

    QUOTE
    GM foods haven't spread like wildfire.

    I wouldn't care if they did. It'd probably be a boon to food production.

    QUOTE
    The Bevalac and RHIC did not cause problems like W.L. Wagner predicted. If you predict trouble and are right, then you are Cassandra -- a tragic figure. But if you predict trouble and are wrong, then you are the boy who cried 'wolf' -- a fool.

    So you'd try and shame me into accepting the risk? Better a live fool than a dead Cassandra.

    QUOTE
    Yep. http://www.mjc.org/Rabbis%20Message/message-200202.htm


    There's a funny reference to this in the movie "Evan Almighty."

    QUOTE
    And, yep. We do that every time we do something new.

    Not true. Most risks are to individuals and/or small parties/populations. Most mundane risks are foreseeable. This one risks everything.

    QUOTE
    No, it doesn't. But rather than spend 20 years educating you on axiomatic quantum field theory,

    It'd sure be neat if someone would offer me a full sponsorship though...

    QUOTE
    we have done you the honor of accepting your nonsense speculation on non-evaporating black holes for our calculations. And you respond by spitting on it.

    That's not my intent. I'm only requesting a more accurate representation. Why is that a problem?

    QUOTE
    This can only mean you don't actually have the physics or math background to argue with the calculations. And this implies you cannot understand the Unruh paper and it's implications for Hawking radiation.

    I thought it was pretty evident from that paper that black hole horizons might only radiate if they have high relative velocities to the observer. CERN black holes might have as little as zero.

    QUOTE
    Still checking for your reasoning. Also, it's not "blackhole" but "black hole."

    Technically you are correct. However it seems to me that the phrasing often makes more sense when using the conjunction. The use of the conjunction, hyphen, and separate words is fairly common. However there does seem to be a concerted effort to standardize to the usage "black hole" when referring to the physics phenomenon.

    Here, we see multiple images of black holes: Google pictures.

    Please note the variety of usage. Even universities still use the conjunction. Let's see, there's Cal Tech, Ohio State...

    This post has been edited by ubavontuba on Sep 8 2007, 10:18 PM


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